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1 Dauphin Island Sea Lab, 101 Bienville Boulevard, Dauphin Island, Alabama 36528, USA, and Department of Marine Sciences, University of South Alabama, Mobile, Alabama 36688, USA
2 Department of Paleobiology, Smithsonian Institution, Washington, D.C. 20560, USA
3 Ecological Sciences Division, PBS&J, 2001 Northwest 107th Avenue, Miami, Florida 33172, USA
Paleontological data suggest that coral populations in the Caribbean were consistently healthy for the past 23 k.y. Beginning in the 1980s, however, disease outbreaks, bleaching episodes, hurricanes, and other perturbations caused catastrophic coral mortality and regional turnover. An alternative hypothesis, based on historical sources, posits that coral populations were already declining more than a century ago. These hypotheses can be distinguished only if turnover events are reliably preserved in the Holocene record of coral reefs. Push-cores extracted from uncemented lagoonal reefs in Belize showed that a direct hit by Hurricane Iris in 2001 did not disrupt the signature of the recent turnover event, which entered the subfossil record essentially intact. Cores from lagoonal systems in several areas of the Caribbean do not support the hypothesis that corals declined before the 1980s.
Key Words: Caribbean coral reef event layer hurricane preservation potential taphonomy
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