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1 Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche (CNR) Istituto per il Rilevamento Elettromagnetico dell'Ambiente, Via Diocleziano 324, 80124 Naples, Italy, and Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia–Osservatorio Vesuviano, Via Diocleziano 324, 80124 Naples, Italy
2 Department of Earth Sciences, University of Rome "La Sapienza," Piazzale A. Moro 5, 00185 Rome, Italy, and U.S. Geological Survey, Volcano Hazards Team, Menlo Park, California 94025, USA
3 CNR Istituto per il Rilevamento Elettromagnetico dell'Ambiente, Via Diocleziano 324, 80124 Naples, Italy, and Università degli Studi della Basilicata, Via dell'Ateneo Lucano 10, 85100 Potenza, Italy
4 Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia–Centro Nazionale Terremoti, Via di Vigna Murata 605, 00143 Rome, Italy
5 Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche (CNR) Istituto per il Rilevamento Elettromagnetico dell'Ambiente, Via Diocleziano 324, 80124 Naples, Italy
| ABSTRACT |
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| INTRODUCTION |
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Geodetic measurements at Long Valley caldera (Fig. 1) from 1975 to 2007 using precise leveling, global positioning system (GPS), and two-color electronic distance meter (EDM) have revealed multiple episodes of caldera uplift centered at its resurgent dome (Hill, 2006). The fact that the resurgent dome uplift (Fig. 2) is much larger than that which can explained by seismic activity within and around the caldera, together with the observation that the onset of accelerated deformation precedes increases in earthquake activity by several weeks, suggests that the major source of caldera unrest is probably mass intrusion beneath the resurgent dome (Hill, 2006). Most of the deformation within the caldera can be modeled by a volumetric source with the geometry of a near-vertical pipe at a depth between 5 and 8 km, together with slip along faults in the caldera's south moat (Langbein, 2003). Previous results from repeated microgravity measurements have indicated a mass increase beneath the resurgent dome with a density in the range of 1180–2330 kg/m3. On the basis of the relatively low density, this mass was interpreted to be a combination of magma and a gas-rich hydrothermal fluid (Battaglia et al., 2003). On the other hand, recent numerical work by Hurwitz et al. (2007) suggests that small differences in the values of host-rock permeability and anisotropy, the depth and rate of hydrothermal injection, and the value of the shear modulus may lead to significant variations in the magnitude, rate, and geometry of ground surface displacement. Compared to previous work (e.g., Fialko et al., 2001; Battaglia et al., 2003), here we (1) determine the uplift using differential synthetic aperture radar interferometry (InSAR) deformation time series from 1992 to 2000; (2) increase the number of two-color EDM baselines to better constrain the source geometry; and (3) we do not assume a vertical prolate spheroid model. As a result, we are able to better constrain the geometry of the deformation source and obtain a more robust estimate of its density.
| OBSERVATIONS |
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To minimize the influence from sources not related to the geological unrest, we selected for our analysis only those pixels for which the time series had a correlation greater than 0.95 with respect to the time series of the coherent SAR pixel closer (less than 100 m) to the permanent GPS station RDOM (U.S. Geological Survey [USGS] Earthquake Hazards Program [EHZ], 2008), which is located in the area of maximum uplift on the resurgent dome (Fig. 1).
In addition to the InSAR data, we included in our analysis leveling data from 1982 to 1999, two-color EDM data from 1992 to 2000 (U.S. Geological Survey, 2008), and gravity data from 1982 to 1999 (Battaglia et al., 2003). Given the time distribution of the available geodetic and gravity data sets and the need to have the largest possible signal-to-noise ratio, our modeling strategy was developed following a two-step approach. First, we inverted EDM and InSAR data from 1992 to 1999 to constrain the geometry of the source. We then used uplift and gravity changes between 1982 and 1999 to determine the density of that source (we assumed that the caldera deformation source remained constant from 1982 to 1999, which is justified by the symmetry, over the past 33 yr, of the displacement pattern measured along the leveling route that crosses the resurgent dome; Fig. 2).
Previous modeling by Fialko et al. (2001), Battaglia et al. (2003), and Langbein (2003) has suggested that the intrusion beneath the resurgent dome is cigar-shaped. To uniquely determine the geometry of this cigar-shaped intrusion, we jointly inverted the EDM and InSAR data for a finite prolate spheroid in an elastic, homogeneous, isotropic half-space (Yang et al., 1988). We used a nonlinear inversion algorithm to determine the best-fit parameters for the spheroid. This algorithm is based on the Levenberg-Marquardt least-squares approach (Levenberg, 1944; Marquardt, 1963; Moré et al., 1980). Measurement errors are coded in the covariance matrix (Langbein, 2003; Tizzani et al., 2007). Given the large discrepancy between the number of EDM (70 baselines) and InSAR (~12,500 pixels) observations, but considering their complementary characteristics, we balanced their impact within the inversion algorithm by selecting a weighting such that the contribution of each data set to the model was the same (Table 1). Finally, we performed a statistical analysis to assess the impact of the data uncertainties on the model parameters (Parsons et al., 2006).
| RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS |
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We subsequently estimated the density of the intrusion by joint inversion (constrained by the source geometry determined previously) of the uplift and gravity measurements from 1982 to 1999. Gravity data are much noisier than geodetic data (Fig. 4A), but the 17 yr time span provides an excellent signal-to-noise ratio. The Long Valley gravity network was measured every summer from 1980 to 1985, abandoned for 14 yr, and then reoccupied in 1998 and 1999 (Jachens and Roberts, 1985; Battaglia et al., 2003). Most of the stations outside Long Valley caldera are on crystalline bedrock outcrops, while volcanic flows or sediments underlie the stations within the caldera. We measured the relative gravity at selected stations along closed loops starting from Tom's Place (Fig. 1). Data reduction included the removal of solid Earth tides and daily gravimeter drift. Finally, the measured relative gravity values were averaged using a least-squares method to obtain one gravity determination at each station (Battaglia et al., 2003). The average error (1 standard deviation) for the gravity surveys was ±8 µGal (Fig. 4A).
Before we could interpret the gravity changes over time, it was necessary to correct the gravity data for variation in the level of the water table, the free-air effect, and the deformation effect, due to the coupling between gravity and elastic deformation (e.g., Battaglia and Segall, 2004). The net effect of water table changes on the gravity measurements is small for the 1982–1999 interval, typically of the order of 10 µGal (Battaglia et al., 2003). We computed the free-air correction using the vertical displacement field derived by differencing the GPS-based and leveled orthometric heights (Battaglia et al., 2008). Only 16 of the gravity stations coincided with a geodetic benchmark. We interpolated the uplift at the remaining stations by using kriging, a geostatistical interpolation technique (e.g., Goovaerts, 1997). The interpolation error was estimated through sequential Gaussian simulation (Battaglia et al., 2008). The deformation effect was not significant (e.g., Battaglia et al., 2006), with a maximum value of 1µGal at sites on the resurgent dome.
The corrected gravity signal (residual gravity) depends only on the mass change accompanying the deformation (e.g., Eggers, 1987). The residual gravity (Fig. 4B) shows a positive anomaly centered on the resurgent dome with peak amplitude of 66 ± 11 µGal. The interpretation of the residual gravity anomaly is straightforward: a positive anomaly indicates that mass intruded into the crust, while a negative anomaly is a sign of a mass deficit. The positive residual gravity anomaly at Long Valley suggests mass intrusion into the crust beneath the resurgent dome. Most of the residual gravity values outside the resurgent dome are not significant at the 95% confidence level. The four sites with a significant anomaly outside the resurgent dome (Fig. 4B) are probably influenced by fluid intrusion beneath Mammoth Mountain (Foulger et al., 2003) and the caldera south moat (Prejean et al., 2002). Joint inversion of the deformation and residual gravity data gives a best-fit density of 2509 kg/m3 for the intrusion (Figs. 4C and 4D). The 95% bootstrap bounds (Johnson, 2001) on density are 2192–3564 kg/m3. These results suggest that inflation of the resurgent dome from 1982 through 1999 was the result of an intrusion of basaltic to silicic magma. Compared to previous studies (Battaglia et al., 2003), we better constrain the source of unrest thanks to the dense spatial coverage of deformation provided by InSAR. The new inversion algorithm allowed us to search for the best-fit spheroid without any geometrical assumptions (e.g., that the source is vertical). Given that the density of the intrusion is strongly dependent on its geometry, the robust bounds we found on the geometry provide stronger constraints on the density itself.
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| ACKNOWLEDGMENTS |
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Received for publication 2 July 2008
Revised manuscript received 15 September 2008
Manuscript accepted 20 September 2008
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